Data on potential electricity demand for the future is a fundamental necessity for forecasting and setting up the national grid extension. The lack of data in Malawi has resulted in the existence of enormously sparse literature on electricity demand modeling. A handful of studies on total electricity demand modeling exist in the African context and none for Malawi. The study is concerned with modeling possible future paths for Malawi's electricity future. The study aims at linking the current gap in the literature of electricity demand forecasting, at least partially, by projecting the total electricity demand for Malawi for a long-term duration and modeling alternate electricity supply prospects, together with scenarios and providing policy insights on a variety of user-defined assumptions of which can be applied in other African countries with similar challenges. This study employed a projection methodology using demographic, economic, and government policy trends with a pragmatic structure that uses bottom-up analysis. Electricity use scenario analysis focuses on government policy targets by 2030 at 15 %, 30 %, and 50 % electrification rate plus Growth Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 5 %, 6.5 %, and 7.2 % for three scenarios namely: low, base, and high, respectively. The base and high scenario outcomes indicate an overall electricity consumption growth of 165 % and 218 % by 2030 compared to the low scenario in the government of Malawi's (GoM) outlook, about 4776.78 GWh and 6319.05 GWh. The paper provides insights into the status of Malawi's electricity sector, policy influence, and recommendations regarding the “next steps” in electricity security analysis to create an understanding among various planners and stakeholders in the power sector.